Harvard
W-L: ( 2- 9) PR = 91.0570Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 3- 4 221 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 9-11 222 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 1-11 227 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 7-11 228 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 1- 2 301 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 0- 9 306 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 3- 1 307 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 7-11 308 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 4- 5 408 A Dartmouth IVY ( 1- 2, 89.3) 1- 3 414 A Massachusetts at Amher MA ( 0- 2, 81.8) 17-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
220 H UC Santa Barbara 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.53
221 A Tulane 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.03
222 A Tulane 1-11 -10 -4 -- -5.97
227 A Rice 7-11 -4 -4 -0.05
228 A Rice 1- 2 -1 -4 + 2.95
301 A Rice 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -5.05
306 H Hofstra 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.73
307 A Liberty 7-11 -4 -6 1.77
308 A Liberty 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 4.77
408 A Dartmouth 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.10
414 A Massachusetts at Amher 17-12 5 9 - -3.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Tulane 1-11 -10 -4 -- -5.97 301 A Rice 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -5.05 408 A Dartmouth 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.10 414 A Massachusetts at Amher 17-12 5 9 - -3.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Liberty 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 4.77 220 H UC Santa Barbara 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.53 221 A Tulane 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.03 228 A Rice 1- 2 -1 -4 + 2.95 306 H Hofstra 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.73 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 3- 4 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 2.63 -5.68
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 9-11 -5.49 12.93 0.68 2.63 -6.33
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 1-11 -5.49 12.93 0.68 2.63 -6.33
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 7-11 -5.57 12.86 0.68 2.63 -6.43
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 1- 2 -5.57 12.86 0.68 2.63 -6.43
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 0- 9 -5.57 12.86 0.68 2.63 -6.43
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 3- 1 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 2.63 54.22
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 7-11 -3.75 14.68 0.68 2.63 -4.04
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 4- 5 -3.75 14.68 0.68 2.63 -4.04
3 A Dartmouth ( 1- 2, 89.3) 1- 3 -10.62 7.81 0.68 2.63 -13.07
3 A Massachusetts ( 0- 2, 81.8) 17-12 -18.11 1.00 0.68 2.63 8.81
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4.24
|
winning pts = 63.0323 losing points = -58.7890
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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